Seton Hall

Conference:	BE
Expected RPI:	31.0
Current RPI:	31
Expected SOS:	23
Current SOS:	23
Current Record:	21-11
Expected Record:	21-11
Current Conf Record:	10-9
Expected Conf Record:	10-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	4-1
Current OOC Record:	11-2
Expected OOC Record:	11-2
Expected OOC RPI:	20
Expected OOC SOS:	92

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-11	31.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Seton Hall.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	Fairleigh Dickinson (254.0)	NEC	H	90-68	W	100%
11-12	Monmouth (199.0)	MAAC	H	75-65	W	100%
11-15	Indiana (125.0)	B10	H	84-68	W	100%
11-18	NJIT (269.0)	ASun	H	82-53	W	100%
11-23	Rhode Island (19.0)	A10	N	74-75	L	0%
11-24	Vanderbilt (132.0)	SEC	N	72-59	W	100%
11-30	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	N	89-79	W	100%
12-3	Louisville (38.0)	ACC	A	77-79	W	100%
12-9	VCU (135.0)	A10	H	90-67	W	100%
12-12	Saint Peter's (251.0)	MAAC	H	84-61	W	100%
12-16	Rutgers (203.0)	B10	A	71-65	L	0%
12-20	Wagner (109.0)	NEC	H	89-68	W	100%
12-23	Manhattan (228.0)	MAAC	H	74-62	W	100%
12-28	Creighton (44.0)	BE	H	90-84	W	100%
12-31	St. John's (92.0)	BE	H	75-70	W	100%
1-6	Butler (41.0)	BE	A	87-90	W	100%
1-9	Marquette (58.0)	BE	A	84-64	L	0%
1-13	Georgetown (169.0)	BE	H	74-61	W	100%
1-17	Creighton (44.0)	BE	A	80-63	L	0%
1-20	Xavier (3.0)	BE	H	64-73	L	0%
1-28	DePaul (186.0)	BE	A	70-86	W	100%
1-31	Providence (32.0)	BE	H	73-57	W	100%
2-4	Villanova (2.0)	BE	A	92-76	L	0%
2-7	Marquette (58.0)	BE	H	85-88	L	0%
2-10	Georgetown (169.0)	BE	A	83-80	L	0%
2-14	Xavier (3.0)	BE	A	102-90	L	0%
2-18	DePaul (186.0)	BE	H	82-77	W	100%
2-21	Providence (32.0)	BE	A	77-89	W	100%
2-24	St. John's (92.0)	BE	A	74-81	W	100%
2-28	Villanova (2.0)	BE	H	68-69	L	0%
3-3	Butler (41.0)	BE	H	77-70	W	100%
3-8	Butler (41.0)	BE	N	74-75	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Seton Hall's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Seton Hall's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Seton Hall.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Seton Hall	BE	26.32	26.32	63.97	63.97	7.35	7.35
Butler	BE	5.51	5.51	63.33	63.33	1.47	1.47
Providence	BE	4.12	4.12	65.62	65.62	1.29	1.29
Villanova	BE	4.12	4.12	87.50	87.50	3.09	3.09
Marquette	BE	4.07	4.07	56.67	56.67	0.54	0.54
St. John's	BE	4.05	4.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	BE	4.05	4.05	83.87	83.87	2.74	2.74
DePaul	BE	3.99	3.99	37.93	37.93	-0.96	-0.96
Creighton	BE	3.99	3.99	65.52	65.52	1.24	1.24
Georgetown	BE	3.99	3.99	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	1.69	1.69	39.29	39.29	-0.36	-0.36
Saint Peter's	MAAC	1.69	1.69	45.16	45.16	-0.16	-0.16
Monmouth	MAAC	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Rutgers	B10	1.67	1.67	40.62	40.62	-0.31	-0.31
VCU	A10	1.66	1.66	56.25	56.25	0.21	0.21
Rhode Island	A10	1.66	1.66	77.42	77.42	0.91	0.91
Wagner	NEC	1.64	1.64	72.41	72.41	0.74	0.74
NJIT	ASun	1.64	1.64	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Manhattan	MAAC	1.64	1.64	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Indiana	B10	1.63	1.63	53.33	53.33	0.11	0.11
Louisville	ACC	1.59	1.59	62.50	62.50	0.40	0.40
Texas Tech	B12	1.56	1.56	75.00	75.00	0.78	0.78
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.56	1.56	38.71	38.71	-0.35	-0.35
Iona	MAAC	0.33	0.33	60.61	60.61	0.07	0.07
Rider	MAAC	0.29	0.29	70.97	70.97	0.12	0.12
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Purdue	B10	0.24	0.24	82.35	82.35	0.16	0.16
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.23	0.23	30.00	30.00	-0.09	-0.09
LIU Brooklyn	NEC	0.21	0.21	51.52	51.52	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.21	0.21	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.20	0.20	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.17	0.17	25.00	25.00	-0.09	-0.09
Nebraska	B10	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.17	0.17	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
Virginia	ACC	0.17	0.17	93.94	93.94	0.15	0.15
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.17	0.17	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Saint Louis	A10	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.16	0.16	57.14	57.14	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.16	37.93	37.93	-0.04	-0.04
Bryant	NEC	0.15	0.15	9.68	9.68	-0.12	-0.12
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.15	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.15	0.15	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.06
Niagara	MAAC	0.15	0.15	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.15	0.15	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.15	87.88	87.88	0.11	0.11
Maryland	B10	0.15	0.15	58.06	58.06	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.15	0.15	20.00	20.00	-0.09	-0.09
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.15	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.15	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.14	0.14	40.62	40.62	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.13	0.13	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.12	0.12	19.35	19.35	-0.08	-0.08
Quinnipiac	MAAC	0.12	0.12	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.12	0.12	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.12	0.12	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.12	0.12	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.05
Arizona St.	P12	0.12	0.12	64.52	64.52	0.04	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.12	0.12	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.11	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
USC Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.11	10.71	10.71	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	16.67	16.67	-0.07	-0.07
Missouri	SEC	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	ACC	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	B12	0.10	0.10	70.59	70.59	0.04	0.04
Brown	Ivy	0.10	0.10	38.46	38.46	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.10	30.00	30.00	-0.04	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	70.59	70.59	0.04	0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
LSU	SEC	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Davidson	A10	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.10	0.10	88.24	88.24	0.07	0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
George Mason	A10	0.10	0.10	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.09	0.09	10.71	10.71	-0.07	-0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.09	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.09	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.08	0.08	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	15.62	15.62	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
Syracuse	ACC	0.08	0.08	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	20.00	20.00	-0.04	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
UNC Asheville	BSth	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.07	0.07	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
TCU	B12	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	Amer	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Penn	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Utah	P12	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	OVC	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.06	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
UMass Lowell	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
North Texas	CUSA	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	6.67	6.67	-0.04	-0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota	BSky	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P12	0.05	0.05	64.71	64.71	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	24.14	24.14	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P12	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
UT Arlington	SB	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	Slnd	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P12	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UCF	Amer	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Wichita St.	Amer	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nevada	MWC	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	Amer	0.05	0.05	88.24	88.24	0.04	0.04
Colorado	P12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	SC	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.05	26.92	26.92	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	Amer	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Temple	Amer	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Washington	P12	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	58.06	58.06	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	Amer	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	Amer	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
UMKC	WAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	CAA	0.02	0.02	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Elon	CAA	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.02	0.02	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.02	0.02	37.50	37.50	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	SEC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
USC	P12	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.02	0.02	44.44	44.44	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SB	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
California	P12	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.02	0.02	32.35	32.35	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	Amer	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.02	0.02	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	40.62	40.62	-0.00	-0.00
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Memphis	Amer	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
VMI	SC	0.02	0.02	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.02	0.02	57.14	57.14	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.02	0.02	60.00	60.00	0.00	0.00